China"sacceleratingeconomicrecoveryhasaddedtoforeigninvestors"confidenceintheworld"ssecond-largesteconomy,internationalbusinessleadersandeconomistssaid.
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Withtheconsumptionandservicessectorsrecordingmajorrecovery,theChineseeconomyisexpectedtoofferaglimmerofhopeamidthegloomyworldeconomicoutlook,althoughitstillfacespressurefrominsufficientexternaldemandandchallengesinsectorslikepropertyandprivateinvestment,theysaid.
OntheheelsofChina"sreleaseofmajoreconomicdataforthefirstquarterofthisyear,multipleinternationalinvestmentbanksandfinancialinstitutions,includingJPMorgan,CitiandUBS,haveraisedtheirforecastsforthecountry"sGDPgrowthin2023.
JPMorganincreasedtheoutlookto6.4percent,comparedwithapreviousforecastof6percent,whileCitiupgradeditsforecastto6.1percentfromitsprevious5.7percent.UBSsaiditforeseesthegrowthtobehigherat5.7percentin2023,comparedwithitspreviousforecastof5.4percent.
"China"sGDPgrowthinthefirstthreemonthscameinnotablyaboveexpectations....Thestronggrowthreportpointstoastrongpost-epidemicrecovery,"saidZhuHaibin,chiefChinaeconomistandheadofGreaterChinaEconomicResearchatJPMorgan.
China"sGDPgrowthreboundedto4.5percentyear-on-yearinthefirstquarter,afterreaching2.9percentinthelastquarterof2022,datafromtheNationalBureauofStatisticsshowedonTuesday.
AccordingtoCiti,theunderlyingmomentumcouldbestrongerthanthenumbersuggests,giventhatmeaningfulrecoveryperhapsonlystartedafterSpringFestivalinFebruary.
Thisyearcouldbeawindowofopportunityforpolicymakerstoaddressstructuralissues,suchasweakprivateconfidence,unemploymentamongyoungpeopleandlocalgovernmentdebt,itsaid.
WangTao,headofAsiaeconomicsandchiefChinaeconomistatUBS,predictedthatresumptionofservicesactivitiesinurbanareas,especiallythoseofsmallandmedium-sizedenterprises,shouldhelpsupportgradualemploymentandincomegrowthoverthecourseof2023,aswillthereleaseofsomeexcesssavings.
Inaddition,astheeconomycontinuestorecover,theeffectofeasedpropertypoliciesandlowermortgagerateswillcontinuetocomethrough,supportingfurtherrecoveryofpropertyactivities,shesaid.
OnthebackofChina"seconomicrecovery,internationalbusinessleadershaveexpressedtheirgrowingconfidenceintheChineseeconomy.
HSBCGroupChairmanMarkTuckersaidhebelievesthatChina"seconomyhasbecomeevenmoreresilientsincetheoptimizationofCOVID-19responsemeasures.
TuckersaidheisverybullishontheprospectsoftheChineseeconomyaswellasthebusinessopportunitiesthatChinaisprovidingtoenterprises.
TheChineseeconomyhasbeenrecoveringatafastpacesincethebeginningoftheyear,withinflationwellundercontrol,hesaidinBeijingearlierthisweekattheChinaAnnualInvestorWealthSummit,whichwasjointlyheldbyHSBCandbusinessandfinancialnewsproviderCLS.
Chinawilllikelyaccountforaroundone-thirdofworldeconomicgrowththisyearifthecountrymeetsitsgrowthtargetof5percent,whichislowerthanforecastsofmanyinternationalinstitutions,hesaid.
MichaelBlake,CEOfortheAsianarmofUnionBancairePrivee,afamily-ownedprivatebankandspecialistassetmanagerbasedinGeneva,Switzerland,saidheexpectsChinatoprovidetremendousopportunitiesfordomesticaswellasinternationalinvestorsinmanyareas,includingtheautomationofmanufacturing,artificialintelligenceandthenextgenerationofhealthcare.
FrankMeng,chairmanofQualcommChina,saidthecompanyhasalwaysbeenoptimisticaboutthelong-termdevelopmentoftheChineseeconomyandwillcontinuetoincreaseinvestmentandexpandcooperationinChina.
"ThenumberofQualcomm"semployeesinChinahasgrownbydoubledigitsalmosteveryyearsince2018,"Mengsaid,addingthatQualcommhasestablishedjointinnovationcenterswithdifferentpartnersinvariouscities,andtheseareallimportantpartsofQualcomm"scontinuousdevelopmentinChina.
ZhangDawei,vice-chairmanandsecretary-generaloftheChinaCenterforInternationalEconomicExchanges,suggestedthatthegovernmenttakemorestepstoenhanceexpectationsofprivateentrepreneursandbettersupportthedevelopmentoftheprivatesector.
Withthat,thereboundmomentumofconsumptionwillbewellconveyedtothemanufacturingindustry,especiallythatintheprivatesector,hesaid.
LiuMengyang,asenioranalystofcorporatesatFitchBohua,asubsidiaryofFitchRatings,saidthatsheexpectsinfrastructuretoremainimportanttostabilizinggrowthinChina,withrailwayinvestmentprobablyspeedinguptoprovidestrongersupporttotheoveralleconomicreboundthisyear.
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